From Ace of Spades book thread this morning, where OregonMuse allowed:
I thought the USSR was therefore here to stay, because nobody wanted to go that route. The future was pretty grim. And then one day in 1989, poof, it was gone. Just like that. Of course it wasn’t “just like that”, the USSR was unsustainable and had been heading for a collapse for a long time, but nobody saw it coming, and that’s my point: Right now, I can’t see the progressives giving up without a fight, nor do I see how their poison can once and for all be expunged, but the events of 1989-1991 showed me how limited my vision is. So my hope is that once again, my vision will turn out to be inadequate.
I’ve made precisely this point to my wife and sons: yeah, it looks bad right now, but it’s looked bad before (the USSR, the loss of China, the Pusan perimeter, the Vietnam War, the apparent ascendancy of Japan, the Carter train wreck, to name a few just from the 20th century), and yet unexpectedly things turned around, and in ways that were not foreseen beforehand.
It’s true even in social mores. Fifty years ago smoking was fashionable, then went violently out of fashion in the 70s, only to come roaring back now among 20-somethings. Similarly with tattoos: they’re back, but with a twist that makes them identifiably different from before. I just hope leisure suits and disco never come back
The point is, channeling the late great Yogi Berra, predictions are difficult, especially about the future. For all we know, we may already be experiencing Peak Leftism, as mentioned in the recent post “Ourobouros.” We see through as through a glass, darkly, so keep a good thought.