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Our polling and elections prognosticator par excellence Dave in Fla returns for his final analysis and predictions for the 2022 Midterms, as well as ruminating with hosts CBD and J.J. Sefton about what this all means going forward.
Love your content and visit Ace of Spades most everyday. Really look forward to “Dave in Florida” visits. That said, I just want to politely recommend that you let him speak without so many interruptions that he loses his train of thought. As most tuning in are regular visitors/commenters, most are aware how you feel about things and have heard the points you both are making here. Dave’s polling data is new and vitally topical, however. Thus, he should be allowed to communicate it without so many interruptions……just saying
Thanks Spike. I think Dave had like 75% of the air time but YMMV.
LOL…
My wife says she doesn’t need to listen to the episode since she heard it all live… Because I never stopped talking.
Anyway some new additional data. Baris just ran a test of the university polls that have been claiming a tie in Ohio.
He secretly polled Ohio and gave Ryan the most generous weighting possible. Vance still led by 6.
He thinks with a reasonable weighting, Vance leads by 10 or more.
So consider Marist and Q results in that light. There is evidence that they are off by 8 or more again right now.
My wife asked why I wasn’t on my own podcast!
Seriously…it was a pleasure. The data dump was much appreciated, but the perspective — the rational, data-driven perspective — was even more important.
I think that the podcast format is diminished with TV-like editing. It was a conversation, and it was a pleasure for me and, hopefully, for Sefton and Dave in Fla.
I felt like Marv Throneberry on this episode. Thanks Dave and CBD for a great show.
Fantastic episode guys
Worried about fraud in Pa and the enablers in my Governor and his pick of Secretary of State here in Pa but let’s do it Tuesday and see.
Thanks gentleman. Enjoyed my first cutjib.
Our pleasure!
The formation(s) being fracked in Pennsylvania is / are the Marcellus, and the underlying Utica formations.
Zeldin should have been pounding this issue, as the Marcellus runs under / across the Southern Tier of NYS, an area that has been in economic decline for decades.
Thanks guys, really enjoyed listening to this podcast as I read J.J morning report.
Great episode! Love hearing Dave’s insights and analysis. JJ, I look forward to reading the morning rant first thing. Here is to an extinction level event tomorrow!
Snow and rain expected in Nevada Tues…..Ralston tweeting it looks hopeful for Dems. Watch the Titus/Robertson race and other downballot races. NV house flips on 6 seats, and NV Senate on 2. We need Republicans to win to clean up ballots. See VoteRef.org
Oklahoma has races for governor and both Senate seats. One has no incumbent. U.S. Rep. Markwayne Mullin is the GOP nominee.
Great stuff. First time listening to the show, although JJ’s The Morning Report on Ace of Spade has been my first read and show prep every morning of my own show for the last four years. I’m looking forward to at least a decent red wave, sans any major shenanigans.
I agree there will be at LEAST two of these Senate seats going red. I’m seeing four, but that would include a shocker in PA and possibly a Walker win (I’m not as convinced, but Kemp may help pull him through.) I think Masters will pull through.
Thanks, P. Dawg. I’m hoping for a shocker like Patty Murray and/or Da Nang Dickweed Blumenthal getting dumped.
Who knows? Cheers.
Listened yesterday afternoon & really enjoyed the podcast – including the relaxed conversational format – once again. Dave’s big picture political/statistical analyses have been logical & very well-presented, especially for someone like me who lacks even a basic ability in such matters. Now more than ever, it’s comforting to have some logic when it comes to politics.
I thank you for all you do & look forward to Dave participating in some post mid-term election podcasts.