It was asked of me why I’m not giving full throated support for Cruz. As I alluded to in the replying comment, I have the benefit of some time to watch how things play out. Super Tuesday, plus a few weekend primaries prior to my state voting on the 15th.
And I want to be clear. As a conservative, my main goal here is to defeat Trump. Nominating Cruz, conservative though he may be is more like a “stretch goal.”
As I have stated before, I’m not so certain we’ll like the “what comes next” if we blow up the GOP. Furthermore, the nature of the two party system makes me think that we borrow from the liberals and academia and do a “long march through the institutions” rather than trying to build a new party from the ruins.
Also I agree with CBD that Trump may just be a lifeline to the establishment. In fact, I think he’ll make nice with them. It’s basically 2 groups of dealmakers. They’re going to cut a deal, Trump will profit off his presidential run by charging the RNC and his campaign rent and the like and things will go on. Worse yet, he may not actually lose to the Dems, but rather usher in a new age of populism with this constant pandering.
Either of these options is a disaster for the conservative movement. If he loses and CBD’s prediction is right, the establishment regains hold and the “long march” is ended before it could really even begin.
If he wins, and we see an age of pandering populism (which the rise of Sanders suggests is more than possible) then the establishment (which wants to win and stay at least close to power more than anything) will simply shift directions and conservatives will be a people without a party. Worse yet, the tenor of the nation will drift to the point no amount of conservative thinking can put it back on track. Populism is dangerous that way. It seizes hold and alters the course of nations.
No, if we really want to have conservatism make any actual impact we have to stop Trump here, now, and forever. Maybe Cruz is the person to do that, maybe not. Honestly I’m still not sure. I’m lucky enough to have the benefit of time and hope that unity ticket gets going before 3/15.
But then again:
— tsrblke (@tsrblke) February 28, 2016